Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
cybercatswin 2:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RISE Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
cybercats
Clockwerk
Hduo · 16 games
Hoodwink
Fezor · 15 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 12 games
Lycanoften banned
DkFogas · 12 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Egor · 11 games
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 10 games
Doomoften banned
zenica · 9 games
Enigmaoften banned
DkFogas · 9 games
RISE Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
662 picks · 425 bans
Tusk
574 picks · 543 bans
Tiny
556 picks · 440 bans
Treant Protector
473 picks · 541 bans
Mirana
388 picks · 386 bans
Snapfire
381 picks · 208 bans
Death Prophet
344 picks · 518 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 220 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% RISE Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:15
cybercats 54%RISE Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 40:13.
Game 2prediction correct20:16
cybercats 54%RISE Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 35:02.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 54%
Series resultcybercats 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2