Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDFD Familyloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Mentality Monsterwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
D Family
No games played over 6 months.
Mentality Monster
Silencer
Juju · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
Luna
Cije · 2 games
Rubick
OneJey · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
Cije · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
Cije · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
603 picks · 375 bans
Rubick
497 picks · 270 bans
Phoenix
493 picks · 580 bans
Tiny
465 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
406 picks · 565 bans
Puck
342 picks · 931 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 865 bans
Tusk
332 picks · 282 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Mentality Monster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:34
D Family 29%Mentality Monster 71%
The model gave 71% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Mentality Monster in 30:14.
Game 2prediction correct9:37
D Family 29%Mentality Monster 71%
The model gave 71% on Mentality Monster — the game was taken by Mentality Monster in 33:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteMentality Monster · 71%
Series resultMentality Monster 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2