EPL Masters III · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
59%41%
model: form + hero pool + head-to-head
Ssalamit
Before the match the model relies on pure statistics: team form, their hero pool accounting for the patch meta, and head-to-head. Once the draft is known, the prediction is recalculated: hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dawn Bulls
Dawnbreakersignature
Xibbe · 9 games
Gyrocoptersignature
yamich · 8 games
Miranasignature
Se · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Sancity · 5 games
Hoodwink
Se · 4 games
Centaur Warrunner
Xibbe · 3 games
Techiesoften banned
yamich · 3 games
Anti-Mage
Shad · 2 games
salamit
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
530 picks · 343 bans
Dark Willow
463 picks · 249 bans
Mirana
408 picks · 183 bans
Winter Wyvern
364 picks · 336 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 520 bans
Windranger
310 picks · 141 bans
Centaur Warrunner
297 picks · 295 bans
Earth Spirit
295 picks · 528 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 60%
Hero pool strength61% Dawn Bulls
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Dawn Bulls