European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
DOGSENTloss 0:1series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Two Movewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
DOGSENT
Jakiro
Nagato · 3 games
Dazzle
Nagato · 2 games
Shadow Shaman
islA · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Atoufix · 1 game
Hoodwink
Atoufix · 1 game
Huskaroften banned
Atoufix · 1 game
Marci
Atoufix · 1 game
Muertaoften banned
Atoufix · 1 game
Two Move
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
488 picks · 269 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 549 bans
Jakiro
480 picks · 393 bans
Tiny
456 picks · 351 bans
Tusk
398 picks · 338 bans
Beastmaster
361 picks · 826 bans
Puck
348 picks · 861 bans
Warlock
342 picks · 199 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Two Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Two Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
DOGSENT 12%Two Move 88%
The model gave 88% on Two Move — the game was taken by Two Move.
Model check result
Model favoriteTwo Move · 88%
Series resultTwo Move 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1