BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionDDongwin 2:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OGOxygen Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dong
No games played over 6 months.
Oxygen Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
294 picks · 718 bans
Shadow Shaman
274 picks · 176 bans
Disruptor
266 picks · 247 bans
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 668 bans
Tusk
250 picks · 247 bans
Pugna
249 picks · 266 bans
Marci
246 picks · 656 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 555 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Dong
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Oxygen Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:18
Dong 48%Oxygen Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Oxygen Gaming — the game was taken by Dong in 31:31.
Game 2prediction correct11:36
Dong 48%Oxygen Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Oxygen Gaming — the game was taken by Oxygen Gaming in 41:08.
Game 3prediction missed33:14
Dong 48%Oxygen Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Oxygen Gaming — the game was taken by Dong in 34:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxygen Gaming · 52%
Series resultDong 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3