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INVie · BO3
result vs prediction
EgoBoysloss 1:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infamouswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EgoBoys

No games played over 6 months.

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
62%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 6 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
50%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
426 picks · 196 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
387 picks · 572 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
383 picks · 871 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
370 picks · 205 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
346 picks · 326 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
317 picks · 230 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
286 picks · 390 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
273 picks · 370 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total68% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:40
EgoBoys 32%Infamous 68%
The model gave 68% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 37:29.
Game 2prediction correct10:35
EgoBoys 32%Infamous 68%
The model gave 68% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 31:38.
Game 3prediction correct37:35
EgoBoys 32%Infamous 68%
The model gave 68% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 44:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 68%
Series resultInfamous 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3