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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
EHOMEwin 2:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vici Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

EHOME

Bane
Banesignature
zzq · 6 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
shiro · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolier
zeal · 5 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 3 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
7e · 3 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
pLAnet · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
shiro · 2 games
0%
Razor
Razoroften banned
shiro · 2 games
100%

Vici Gaming

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 18 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
ELeVeN · 18 games
56%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Pyw · 18 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 17 games
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Yds · 15 games
40%
Lion
Lion
Pyw · 12 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Ori · 12 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
427 picks · 312 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
400 picks · 578 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
332 picks · 391 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
327 picks · 749 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
322 picks · 179 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
255 picks · 441 bans
57%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
247 picks · 360 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
241 picks · 165 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% EHOME
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total62% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:11
EHOME 47%Vici Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by EHOME in 38:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith Kingshiro
53% · 276 games45% · 149 games
Phantom Assassinpoyoyo
Phantom Assassin
Lina
Lina7e
47% · 255 games48% · 196 games
Ember SpiritXm
Ember Spirit
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerpLAnet
51% · 169 games47% · 383 games
MarsIrving
Mars
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekerzeal
56% · 161 game46% · 226 games
SnapfireVictoria
Snapfire
Weaver
Weaverzzq
53% · 252 games56% · 159 games
IoYds
Io
Game 2prediction correct24:40
EHOME 44%Vici Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 48:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunashiro
43% · 219 games54% · 253 games
Weaverpoyoyo
Weaver
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit7e
57% · 259 games47% · 327 games
Void SpiritXm
Void Spirit
Pangolier
Pangolierzeal
51% · 290 games48% · 70 games
BrewmasterIrving
Brewmaster
Bane
Banezzq
54% · 291 game49% · 263 games
GrimstrokeYds
Grimstroke
Windranger
WindrangerpLAnet
50% · 113 games48% · 259 games
TidehunterVictoria
Tidehunter
Game 3prediction missed36:24
EHOME 45%Vici Gaming 55%
The model gave 55% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by EHOME in 44:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinshiro
65% · 138 games47% · 209 games
Monkey Kingpoyoyo
Monkey King
Windranger
Windranger7e
51% · 91 game47% · 166 games
RazorXm
Razor
Weaver
Weaverzeal
52% · 234 games48% · 137 games
Spirit BreakerIrving
Spirit Breaker
Dark Willow
Dark WillowpLAnet
47% · 148 games45% · 190 games
RubickYds
Rubick
Tidehunter
Tidehunterzzq
58% · 191 game40% · 100 games
Ogre MagiVictoria
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 62%
Series resultEHOME 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3