BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionETex-Runa Teamloss 0:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rune Eaterswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ex-Runa Team
No games played over 6 months.
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
raregods · 45 games
Jakirooften banned
Htrd · 41 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 35 games
Void Spirit
Ethereal · 33 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 25 games
Disruptor
Htrd · 24 games
Slardarsignature
Ankou · 23 games
Warlock
Htrd · 22 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
593 picks · 622 bans
Tusk
509 picks · 330 bans
Dragon Knight
501 picks · 689 bans
Snapfire
498 picks · 192 bans
Hoodwink
449 picks · 224 bans
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 527 bans
Mars
400 picks · 542 bans
Pangolier
385 picks · 545 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:33
ex-Runa Team 47%Rune Eaters 53%
The model gave 53% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 30:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 53%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1