BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Fnaticwin 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Snapfire
Se · 11 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 10 games
Shadow Shaman
ChuaN · 10 games
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 9 games
Clockwerk
ChuaN · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Enryu · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 8 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
628 picks · 493 bans
Marci
469 picks · 684 bans
Dawnbreaker
404 picks · 569 bans
Puck
396 picks · 849 bans
Winter Wyvern
328 picks · 408 bans
Death Prophet
300 picks · 480 bans
Zeus
275 picks · 365 bans
Enchantress
265 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 19%
Hero pool strength57% Fnatic
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total88% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:33
Fnatic 88%Neon Esports 12%
The model gave 88% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 54:48.
Game 2prediction missed30:14
Fnatic 88%Neon Esports 12%
The model gave 88% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 24:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 88%
Series resultFnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2