BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fusionloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gods of Hellwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fusion
Hoodwinkoften banned
Michael · 6 games
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
Disruptor
Prada · 4 games
Svenoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Jakiro
Michael · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
Prada · 3 games
Gods of Hell
Windrangeroften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Juggernaut
CarJua · 1 game
Troll Warlordoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
359 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 402 bans
Jakiro
342 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 509 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
281 picks · 253 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 360 bans
Phoenix
267 picks · 471 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Gods of Hell
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Fusion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:31
Fusion 54%Gods of Hell 46%
The model gave 54% on Fusion — the game was taken by Gods of Hell in 48:14.
Game 2prediction missed35:26
Fusion 54%Gods of Hell 46%
The model gave 54% on Fusion — the game was taken by Gods of Hell in 52:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteFusion · 54%
Series resultGods of Hell 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2