FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Fusionwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Numa Numa leiloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Fusion
Batrideroften banned
Michael · 7 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Prada · 6 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Frank · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Snapfire
Michael · 5 games
Sven
Wits · 5 games
Chenoften banned
Prada · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Frank · 4 games
Numa Numa lei
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
488 picks · 649 bans
Clockwerk
451 picks · 519 bans
Pangolier
385 picks · 566 bans
Dark Willow
375 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 388 bans
Muerta
334 picks · 252 bans
Invoker
325 picks · 904 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 657 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Numa Numa lei
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Fusion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Fusion 72%Numa Numa lei 28%
The model gave 72% on Fusion — the game was taken by Fusion.
Game 2prediction correct
Fusion 72%Numa Numa lei 28%
The model gave 72% on Fusion — the game was taken by Fusion.
Model check result
Model favoriteFusion · 72%
Series resultFusion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2