Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entityloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
361 picks · 308 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 505 bans
Vengeful Spirit
323 picks · 302 bans
Pangolier
268 picks · 370 bans
Magnus
251 picks · 459 bans
Luna
248 picks · 227 bans
Mars
244 picks · 306 bans
Techies
243 picks · 160 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% G2 Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:30
G2 Invictus Gaming 73%Entity 27%
The model gave 73% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Entity in 57:33.
Game 2prediction missed31:32
G2 Invictus Gaming 73%Entity 27%
The model gave 73% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Entity in 51:43.
Game 3prediction missed11:21
G2 Invictus Gaming 73%Entity 27%
The model gave 73% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Entity in 44:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 73%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3