ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 28 games
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 26 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 22 games
Morphlingoften banned
dyrachyo · 22 games
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 22 games
Dark Seersignature
Ace · 21 game
Techiessignature
tOfu · 21 game
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
275 picks · 424 bans
Dark Willow
231 picks · 110 bans
Muerta
229 picks · 324 bans
Treant Protector
221 picks · 455 bans
Phoenix
217 picks · 321 bans
Kunkka
200 picks · 522 bans
Tusk
198 picks · 168 bans
Nature's Prophet
192 picks · 408 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:9
G2 Invictus Gaming 30%Gaimin Gladiators 70%
The model gave 70% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 42:04.
Game 2prediction correct10:17
G2 Invictus Gaming 30%Gaimin Gladiators 70%
The model gave 70% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:26.
Game 3prediction correct12:26
G2 Invictus Gaming 30%Gaimin Gladiators 70%
The model gave 70% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 29:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 70%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3