The International 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
KEVloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
KEV
Dark Willowsignature
RedPanda · 10 games
Weaversignature
flyfly · 10 games
Pudgeoften banned
Undyne_ · 9 games
Brewmasteroften banned
ELeVeN · 8 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
Lifestealersignature
flyfly · 8 games
Disruptorsignature
Undyne_ · 7 games
Leshracoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
474 picks · 226 bans
Tiny
450 picks · 747 bans
Centaur Warrunner
434 picks · 616 bans
Gyrocopter
433 picks · 420 bans
Batrider
391 picks · 717 bans
Rubick
382 picks · 165 bans
Dragon Knight
360 picks · 997 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 710 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% KEV
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total87% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:27
G2 Invictus Gaming 87%KEV 13%
The model gave 87% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by KEV in 42:14.
Game 2prediction correct
G2 Invictus Gaming 87%KEV 13%
The model gave 87% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming.
Game 3prediction missed28:13
G2 Invictus Gaming 87%KEV 13%
The model gave 87% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by KEV in 31:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 87%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3