ESL One Birmingham 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Talon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Talon Esports
Morphlingsignature
Akashi · 23 games
Dragon Knightsignature
CHYuan · 19 games
Marssignature
Ws · 18 games
Batridersignature
Jhocam · 15 games
Leshracsignature
CHYuan · 13 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Ponyo · 12 games
Elder Titansignature
Ponyo · 11 games
Hoodwinksignature
Jhocam · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
469 picks · 203 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 828 bans
Centaur Warrunner
444 picks · 663 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 594 bans
Rubick
414 picks · 178 bans
Pangolier
390 picks · 712 bans
Mars
386 picks · 620 bans
Techies
379 picks · 293 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:38
G2 Invictus Gaming 75%Talon Esports 25%
The model gave 75% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 49:17.
Game 2prediction missed20:37
G2 Invictus Gaming 75%Talon Esports 25%
The model gave 75% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 1:16:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 75%
Series resultTalon Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2