ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Falconsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Falcons
Lunasignature
Skiter · 13 games
Marssignature
ATF · 11 games
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 10 games
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 9 games
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 8 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Cr1t- · 8 games
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 8 games
Chensignature
Sneyking · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
272 picks · 411 bans
Dark Willow
231 picks · 110 bans
Muerta
226 picks · 322 bans
Treant Protector
218 picks · 453 bans
Phoenix
214 picks · 312 bans
Kunkka
197 picks · 510 bans
Tusk
194 picks · 162 bans
Nature's Prophet
190 picks · 404 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 77%
Hero pool strength66% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:14
G2 Invictus Gaming 33%Team Falcons 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 45:03.
Game 2prediction correct31:18
G2 Invictus Gaming 33%Team Falcons 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 44:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 67%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2