Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Xtreme Gaming
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 31 game
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 28 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 20 games
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 18 games
Snipersignature
Xm · 18 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
402 picks · 896 bans
Hoodwink
400 picks · 415 bans
Rubick
395 picks · 299 bans
Weaver
387 picks · 801 bans
Pangolier
346 picks · 536 bans
Phoenix
343 picks · 688 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 478 bans
Gyrocopter
313 picks · 381 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 56%
Hero pool strength60% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total74% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:4
G2 Invictus Gaming 26%Xtreme Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 30:32.
Game 2prediction correct22:33
G2 Invictus Gaming 26%Xtreme Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 47:34.
Game 3prediction correct10:15
G2 Invictus Gaming 26%Xtreme Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 41:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 74%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3