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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9Pandaswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 59 games
75%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 44 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 40 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 40 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 36 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 36 games
78%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 32 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 48 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 43 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 42 games
69%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 38 games
61%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 34 games
65%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 33 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 31 game
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
642 picks · 687 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
516 picks · 340 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
450 picks · 966 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
421 picks · 929 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
403 picks · 858 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 348 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
385 picks · 1003 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
382 picks · 447 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 42%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total86% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:50
Gaimin Gladiators 71%9Pandas 29%
The model gave 71% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 53:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
45% · 262 games50% · 514 games
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
Ember Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightQuinn
54% · 147 games51% · 158 games
AlchemistRAMZES666
Alchemist
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
50% · 423 games48% · 160 games
LycanMieRo
Lycan
Chen
ChenSeleri
63% · 114 games47% · 359 games
TechiesAntares
Techies
Rubick
RubicktOfu
45% · 698 games48% · 453 games
UndyingSolo
Undying
Game 2prediction missed15:26
Gaimin Gladiators 73%9Pandas 27%
The model gave 73% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 44:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirendyrachyo
57% · 160 games52% · 138 games
Shadow Fiendkiyotaka
Shadow Fiend
Meepo
MeepoAce
54% · 9 games56% · 105 games
JuggernautRAMZES666
Juggernaut
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
45% · 379 games52% · 171 game
EnigmaMieRo
Enigma
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
41% · 271 game56% · 33 games
Witch DoctorSolo
Witch Doctor
Techies
TechiestOfu
52% · 260 games45% · 632 games
RubickAntares
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 86%
Series result9Pandas 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2