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The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 56 games
73%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 42 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 38 games
68%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 33 games
76%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 33 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 32 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 30 games
70%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 30 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 30 games
67%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
72%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
68%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
663 picks · 697 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
662 picks · 456 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
581 picks · 1127 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
497 picks · 1219 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
486 picks · 1041 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
477 picks · 445 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
464 picks · 719 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
438 picks · 909 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total77% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed2:28
Gaimin Gladiators 66%BETBOOM TEAM 34%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
55% · 71 game48% · 163 games
BroodmotherNightfall
Broodmother
Slark
Slarkdyrachyo
52% · 117 games37% · 142 games
WindrangergpK~
Windranger
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
51% · 55 games41% · 103 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Batrider
BatriderSeleri
56% · 228 games51% · 179 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Techies
TechiestOfu
54% · 237 games50% · 121 game
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
Oracle
Game 2prediction missed16:31
Gaimin Gladiators 65%BETBOOM TEAM 35%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingdyrachyo
52% · 413 games49% · 407 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
51% · 585 games56% · 215 games
MedusaNightfall
Medusa
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
47% · 630 games47% · 459 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemontOfu
48% · 184 games49% · 734 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Techies
TechiesSeleri
51% · 432 games49% · 429 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 77%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2