Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 28 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 21 game
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 16 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 16 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 16 games
Linasignature
dyrachyo · 15 games
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 14 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
824 picks · 576 bans
Tiny
597 picks · 409 bans
Treant Protector
525 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
516 picks · 420 bans
Nature's Prophet
483 picks · 780 bans
Death Prophet
432 picks · 893 bans
Snapfire
430 picks · 307 bans
Clockwerk
378 picks · 286 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total67% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:12
Gaimin Gladiators 67%Entity 33%
The model gave 67% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 42:03.
Game 2prediction correct25:16
Gaimin Gladiators 67%Entity 33%
The model gave 67% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 39:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 67%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2