Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Muertasignature
tOfu · 34 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 29 games
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 27 games
Jakiro
Malady · 26 games
Doomoften banned
Ace · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 19 games
Puckoften banned
Quinn · 19 games
Execration
Terrorbladeoften banned
Akashi · 14 games
Batridersignature
Shanks · 10 games
Magnussignature
Tino- · 10 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Palos · 9 games
Marci
Tino- · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Shanks · 8 games
Lichsignature
cml · 8 games
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
472 picks · 515 bans
Tiny
469 picks · 501 bans
Ringmaster
390 picks · 210 bans
Tusk
368 picks · 362 bans
Terrorblade
358 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 528 bans
Jakiro
348 picks · 233 bans
Kunkka
328 picks · 513 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:17
Gaimin Gladiators 75%Execration 25%
The model gave 75% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWatson
Nature's ProphetPalos
AxeAce
BeastmasterTino-
Void SpiritQuinn
MarciShanks
BatridertOfu
Witch Doctorcml
DazzleMalady
Game 2prediction correct30:13
Gaimin Gladiators 75%Execration 25%
The model gave 75% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWatson
TinyPalos
PuckQuinn
MagnusTino-
DawnbreakerAce
Witch Doctorcml
Naga SirenMalady
Shadow DemonShanks
TechiestOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 90%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2