BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Muertasignature
tOfu · 26 games
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 15 games
Mirana
tOfu · 15 games
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 14 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Doomoften banned
Ace · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 13 games
Nigma Galaxy
Clockwerksignature
GH · 22 games
Marssignature
No!ob · 20 games
Snipersignature
SumaiL · 19 games
Phoenixoften banned
GH · 17 games
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 16 games
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 16 games
Lionsignature
OmaR · 15 games
Magnusoften banned
OmaR · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
468 picks · 398 bans
Phoenix
463 picks · 569 bans
Batrider
446 picks · 550 bans
Clockwerk
426 picks · 526 bans
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 772 bans
Tiny
411 picks · 453 bans
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
Magnus
399 picks · 863 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total63% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:19
Gaimin Gladiators 56%Nigma Galaxy 44%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 42:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaQuinn
Monkey KingGhost
MarciWatson
PuckSumaiL
PangolierAce
MarsNo!ob
ClockwerktOfu
PhoenixGH
IoSeleri
BatriderOmaR
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 63%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1