BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Muertasignature
tOfu · 26 games
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 15 games
Mirana
tOfu · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 15 games
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 14 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Doomoften banned
Ace · 13 games
Xtreme Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 29 games
Muerta
Pyw · 24 games
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 17 games
Beastmastersignature
niu · 14 games
Lunasignature
Ame · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
469 picks · 397 bans
Phoenix
467 picks · 578 bans
Batrider
451 picks · 554 bans
Clockwerk
432 picks · 531 bans
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 771 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 461 bans
Lion
402 picks · 232 bans
Magnus
398 picks · 871 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total61% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:16
Gaimin Gladiators 54%Xtreme Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MagnusWatson
Queen of PainXm
DoomAce
Bristlebacklou
SniperQuinn
Dawnbreakerniu
Bounty HuntertOfu
TuskPyw
LichSeleri
Shadow ShamanPoloson
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 61%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1