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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — СНГ 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gambit Esports

No games played over 6 months.

B8 Esports

Puck
Puckoften banned
Dendi · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
illusion · 5 games
60%
Arc Warden
Arc Wardenoften banned
RdO · 4 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Duster · 4 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
RdO · 4 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
RdO · 4 games
25%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Dendi · 3 games
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Duster · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
222 picks · 472 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
197 picks · 352 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
197 picks · 259 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
177 picks · 143 bans
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
154 picks · 245 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
151 picks · 179 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
145 picks · 472 bans
58%
Rubick
Rubick
133 picks · 82 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:12
Gambit Esports 52%B8 Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 43:01.
Game 2prediction missed36:9
Gambit Esports 52%B8 Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 46:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 52%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2