Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
B8 Esports
Void Spiritoften banned
Dendi · 26 games
Linasignature
[T]SA · 25 games
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 23 games
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 12 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Yuma · 12 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Limitless · 12 games
Lycansignature
Limitless · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
273 picks · 410 bans
Tidehunter
271 picks · 390 bans
Monkey King
257 picks · 643 bans
Bane
242 picks · 183 bans
Weaver
226 picks · 435 bans
Lina
217 picks · 472 bans
Lion
206 picks · 107 bans
Void Spirit
205 picks · 265 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 41%
Hero pool strength52% B8 Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:10
Gambit Esports 59%B8 Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 37:47.
Game 2prediction missed7:28
Gambit Esports 59%B8 Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 30:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 59%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2