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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gambit Esports

Bane
Bane
Panto · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sayuw · 2 games
0%
Mirana
Mirana
sayuw · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Smiling Knight · 1 game
100%

cybercats

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Fezor · 9 games
33%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 7 games
29%
Bane
Bane
Hduo · 6 games
33%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Fezor · 5 games
20%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Shigetsu · 5 games
20%
Rubick
Rubick
Fezor · 4 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
468 picks · 628 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 497 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
444 picks · 278 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
405 picks · 532 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
361 picks · 799 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 552 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 557 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
334 picks · 514 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total82% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:30
Gambit Esports 82%cybercats 18%
The model gave 82% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by cybercats in 35:28.
Game 2prediction missed40:17
Gambit Esports 82%cybercats 18%
The model gave 82% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by cybercats in 37:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 82%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2