Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
No Sorryloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
No Sorry
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 15 games
Tinyoften banned
layme · 15 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 14 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 13 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 13 games
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 10 games
Juggernautsignature
layme · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
437 picks · 262 bans
Mars
405 picks · 546 bans
Tiny
353 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
335 picks · 672 bans
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 437 bans
Sand King
294 picks · 385 bans
Weaver
271 picks · 328 bans
Pangolier
256 picks · 385 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total76% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:28
Gambit Esports 76%No Sorry 24%
The model gave 76% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by No Sorry in 37:10.
Game 2prediction missed25:37
Gambit Esports 76%No Sorry 24%
The model gave 76% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by No Sorry in 48:33.
Game 3prediction missed23:35
Gambit Esports 76%No Sorry 24%
The model gave 76% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by No Sorry in 42:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 76%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3