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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:1
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 13 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
22%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Fayde · 9 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 9 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
RCY · 9 games
67%

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 30 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 24 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 22 games
68%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 21 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 20 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 19 games
47%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 19 games
68%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 18 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
598 picks · 932 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
542 picks · 422 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 642 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 655 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
438 picks · 941 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 653 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
385 picks · 532 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
378 picks · 232 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 61%
Hero pool strength50% GamerLegion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:29
GamerLegion 27%OG 73%
The model gave 73% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 31:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRCY
53% · 494 games52% · 170 games
Shadow FiendNatsumi
Shadow Fiend
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordYamSun
49% · 105 games51% · 183 games
Dark SeerForce
Dark Seer
Largo
LargoFayde
62% · 36 games44% · 439 games
TinyYopaj
Tiny
Warlock
WarlockSpeeed
49% · 532 games45% · 441 game
JakiroSkem
Jakiro
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBignum
48% · 197 games56% · 131 game
ClockwerkTims
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 88%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1