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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:1
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Spiritwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 13 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
22%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Fayde · 9 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 9 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
RCY · 9 games
67%

Team Spirit

Tusk
Tusksignature
rue · 26 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 20 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 19 games
74%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 19 games
68%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 19 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 17 games
53%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 17 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Panto · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
600 picks · 937 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
543 picks · 428 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
495 picks · 642 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
493 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 949 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 656 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
387 picks · 531 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
380 picks · 233 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:30
GamerLegion 30%Team Spirit 70%
The model gave 70% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 41:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Enigma
EnigmaFayde
50% · 84 games47% · 219 games
Shadow FiendYatoro
Shadow Fiend
Viper
ViperRCY
54% · 66 games57% · 104 games
Keeper of the LightMirele
Keeper of the Light
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYamSun
54% · 392 games52% · 407 games
MarsCollapse
Mars
Snapfire
SnapfireSpeeed
46% · 403 games51% · 437 games
Hoodwinkrue
Hoodwink
Tusk
TuskBignum
48% · 401 game42% · 179 games
ClockwerkPanto
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 87%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1