PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionGGantzloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gantz
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 3 games
Rubick
Genek · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 2 games
Disruptor
Mjz · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
Linaoften banned
PiPi · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
386 picks · 630 bans
Lion
379 picks · 352 bans
Mars
371 picks · 593 bans
Techies
370 picks · 301 bans
Batrider
351 picks · 755 bans
Vengeful Spirit
349 picks · 346 bans
Tiny
339 picks · 373 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 200 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 36%
Hero pool strength52% Gantz
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:12
Gantz 30%Infinity Esports 70%
The model gave 70% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 26:19.
Game 2prediction correct39:43
Gantz 30%Infinity Esports 70%
The model gave 70% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 38:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 70%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2