The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GG Arenaloss 1:2series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Hydrawin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GG Arena
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Monkey Kingoften banned
selfhate · 13 games
Bristlebacksignature
Actor · 12 games
Terrorbladesignature
selfhate · 9 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
selfhate · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
Ethereal · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 6 games
Kunkkasignature
mellojul · 6 games
Muertasignature
prblms · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 496 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 206 bans
Terrorblade
332 picks · 583 bans
Storm Spirit
291 picks · 400 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 609 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 186 bans
Windranger
264 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:14
GG Arena 16%Hydra 84%
The model gave 84% on Hydra — the game was taken by GG Arena in 39:20.
Game 2prediction correct11:31
GG Arena 16%Hydra 84%
The model gave 84% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 31:52.
Game 3prediction correct16:42
GG Arena 16%Hydra 84%
The model gave 84% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 34:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 84%
Series resultHydra 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3