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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GLYPHwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Direbornloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
Jhocam · 9 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 8 games
38%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
JaCkky · 8 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
JaCkky · 8 games
50%

Direborn

Silencer
Silencer
PlayHard · 4 games
25%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Juju · 3 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 3 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
woMy · 3 games
33%
Kez
Kezoften banned
db- · 3 games
33%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
db- · 2 games
100%
Marci
Marcioften banned
db- · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
636 picks · 437 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
580 picks · 321 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 574 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
453 picks · 659 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
446 picks · 381 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
355 picks · 529 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
344 picks · 415 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
343 picks · 1043 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:16
GLYPH 74%Direborn 26%
The model gave 74% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 39:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaJaCkky
49% · 117 games48% · 265 games
TimbersawwoMy
Timbersaw
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
47% · 292 games49% · 456 games
Tinydb-
Tiny
Doom
Doomzeal
60% · 156 games46% · 388 games
PhoenixPlayHard
Phoenix
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJhocam
51% · 375 games
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorNARMAN
56% · 169 games
Game 2prediction correct27:22
GLYPH 74%Direborn 26%
The model gave 74% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 45:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezJaCkky
48% · 101 game55% · 139 games
Nature's Prophetdb-
Nature's Prophet
Zeus
ZeusEmo
36% · 11 games54% · 249 games
BeastmasterwoMy
Beastmaster
Axe
Axezeal
41% · 139 games59% · 104 games
Treant ProtectorPlayHard
Treant Protector
Enchantress
EnchantressNARMAN
48% · 117 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJhocam
42% · 124 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 90%
Series resultGLYPH 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2