The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingwin 2:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CHCrayola's Haremloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Crayola's Harem
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
452 picks · 737 bans
Centaur Warrunner
431 picks · 640 bans
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 408 bans
Batrider
406 picks · 755 bans
Rubick
385 picks · 167 bans
Dragon Knight
357 picks · 1045 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 745 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Crayola's Harem
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:38
HAVU Gaming 36%Crayola's Harem 64%
The model gave 64% on Crayola's Harem — the game was taken by Crayola's Harem in 50:31.
Game 2prediction missed25:27
HAVU Gaming 36%Crayola's Harem 64%
The model gave 64% on Crayola's Harem — the game was taken by HAVU Gaming in 34:21.
Game 3prediction missed40:1
HAVU Gaming 36%Crayola's Harem 64%
The model gave 64% on Crayola's Harem — the game was taken by HAVU Gaming in 26:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteCrayola's Harem · 64%
Series resultHAVU Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3