PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 1:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LULevel UP MarsBahiswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Level UP MarsBahis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
418 picks · 679 bans
Mars
394 picks · 635 bans
Lion
392 picks · 360 bans
Techies
392 picks · 320 bans
Tiny
375 picks · 449 bans
Batrider
374 picks · 829 bans
Vengeful Spirit
357 picks · 358 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 585 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Level UP MarsBahis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HAVU Gaming 30%Level UP MarsBahis 70%
The model gave 70% on Level UP MarsBahis — the game was taken by Level UP MarsBahis.
Game 2prediction missed
HAVU Gaming 30%Level UP MarsBahis 70%
The model gave 70% on Level UP MarsBahis — the game was taken by HAVU Gaming.
Game 3prediction correct
HAVU Gaming 30%Level UP MarsBahis 70%
The model gave 70% on Level UP MarsBahis — the game was taken by Level UP MarsBahis.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP MarsBahis · 70%
Series resultLevel UP MarsBahis 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3