Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 12 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
so bad · 8 games
Phoenixoften banned
Hellscream · 7 games
Pugna
so bad · 7 games
Bristlebacksignature
Kiritych · 6 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 6 games
Techiessignature
Hellscream · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
484 picks · 350 bans
Marci
454 picks · 663 bans
Undying
315 picks · 529 bans
Death Prophet
282 picks · 444 bans
Enigma
264 picks · 834 bans
Pangolier
261 picks · 364 bans
Puck
261 picks · 605 bans
Snapfire
251 picks · 127 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total59% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HellRaisers 59%Nemiga Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by HellRaisers.
Game 2prediction correct
HellRaisers 59%Nemiga Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by HellRaisers.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 59%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2