BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RISE Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
RISE Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
412 picks · 415 bans
Tiny
392 picks · 377 bans
Rubick
384 picks · 262 bans
Mirana
299 picks · 309 bans
Treant Protector
254 picks · 302 bans
Snapfire
242 picks · 124 bans
Crystal Maiden
212 picks · 152 bans
Ember Spirit
205 picks · 566 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% HellRaisers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:55
HellRaisers 83%RISE Esports 17%
The model gave 83% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by RISE Esports in 41:26.
Game 2prediction missed32:9
HellRaisers 83%RISE Esports 17%
The model gave 83% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by RISE Esports in 20:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 83%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2