The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 21 game
Magnussignature
Wisper · 20 games
Muerta
Scofield · 19 games
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 18 games
Jakiro
KJ · 17 games
Bristlebacksignature
Wisper · 14 games
Earthshakersignature
4nalog · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 13 games
Infamous
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 13 games
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
S1RENM · 8 games
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
DM · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
484 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
482 picks · 565 bans
Ringmaster
451 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
352 picks · 713 bans
Ancient Apparition
314 picks · 727 bans
Storm Spirit
314 picks · 491 bans
Tusk
302 picks · 256 bans
Windranger
293 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:14
Heroic 75%Infamous 25%
The model gave 75% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 41:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaWisper
WeaverJP
Drow RangerYuma
Death ProphetAlone
Timbersaw4nalog
Ancient ApparitionCHAAANNN
Shadow ShamanScofield
Tinysl4d1n-
TuskKJ
Game 2prediction correct30:23
Heroic 78%Infamous 22%
The model gave 78% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 34:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingYuma
WeaverJP
BristlebackWisper
BatriderAlone
Death Prophet4nalog
Dark Willowsl4d1n-
RubickScofield
TuskCHAAANNN
BaneKJ
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 91%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2