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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 26 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
32%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
37%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 16 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 16 games
38%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 15 games
47%
Phoenix
Phoenix
KJ · 15 games
53%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 21 game
48%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Oli · 17 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
flyfly · 15 games
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
flyfly · 13 games
38%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
flyfly · 12 games
42%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
BEYOND · 11 games
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
BoBoKa · 11 games
55%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Emo · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
428 picks · 360 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
342 picks · 183 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
335 picks · 782 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
335 picks · 328 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
316 picks · 824 bans
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
274 picks · 621 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
274 picks · 543 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
272 picks · 358 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 37%
Hero pool strength51% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:12
Heroic 58%Yakult Brothers 42%
The model gave 58% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 37:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoYuma
51% · 12 games45% · 233 games
Dragon Knightflyfly
Dragon Knight
Pudge
PudgeWisper
43% · 21 game48% · 93 games
LycanBEYOND
Lycan
Monkey King
Monkey King4nalog
59% · 165 games53% · 101 game
EarthshakerEmo
Earthshaker
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetKJ
53% · 168 games50% · 74 games
BaneBoBoKa
Bane
Clockwerk
ClockwerkScofield
46% · 219 games44% · 84 games
UndyingOli
Undying
Game 2prediction correct39:8
Heroic 61%Yakult Brothers 39%
The model gave 61% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 41:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoYuma
48% · 11 games51% · 156 games
Medusaflyfly
Medusa
Earthshaker
Earthshaker4nalog
59% · 160 games49% · 238 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Mars
MarsWisper
46% · 148 games51% · 67 games
UndyingBEYOND
Undying
Silencer
SilencerKJ
46% · 108 games48% · 106 games
HoodwinkBoBoKa
Hoodwink
Clockwerk
ClockwerkScofield
53% · 205 games46% · 65 games
BaneOli
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 65%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2