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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 24 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 24 games
46%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 20 games
45%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Axe
Axe
Davai · 18 games
44%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Wisper · 18 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 18 games
56%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 32 games
47%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 22 games
68%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Emo · 22 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Oli · 18 games
44%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 17 games
29%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 16 games
44%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Poloson · 16 games
31%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 15 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
771 picks · 354 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
580 picks · 299 bans
52%
Disruptor
Disruptor
551 picks · 550 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
535 picks · 407 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
520 picks · 633 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
492 picks · 292 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
474 picks · 743 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 517 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Heroic
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total81% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:10
Heroic 71%Yakult Brothers 29%
The model gave 71% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 35:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYuma
50% · 511 games49% · 119 games
Axezeal
Axe
Invoker
InvokerWisper
49% · 214 games46% · 402 games
PangolierMoon
Pangolier
Mars
MarsDavai
51% · 339 games52% · 351 game
Gyrocopterflyfly
Gyrocopter
Pugna
PugnaKJ
55% · 291 game53% · 390 games
BatriderBoBoKa
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkScofield
48% · 322 games48% · 415 games
Tusk天命
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct29:29
Heroic 67%Yakult Brothers 33%
The model gave 67% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 58:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordYuma
43% · 144 games56% · 123 games
Lycanzeal
Lycan
Viper
ViperDavai
54% · 41 game47% · 165 games
Morphlingflyfly
Morphling
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
58% · 123 games46% · 273 games
Dragon KnightMoon
Dragon Knight
Tiny
TinyScofield
48% · 383 games48% · 178 games
MarciBoBoKa
Marci
Pugna
PugnaKJ
51% · 259 games53% · 211 games
Disruptor天命
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 81%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2