LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 8 games
Tusk
Pamplona · 8 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Oracleoften banned
Yor · 5 games
Phoenix
Pamplona · 5 games
Spectreoften banned
Berna · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
407 picks · 190 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 135 bans
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 598 bans
Puck
286 picks · 627 bans
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 357 bans
Mars
272 picks · 473 bans
Winter Wyvern
267 picks · 229 bans
Ancient Apparition
260 picks · 429 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Hokori
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total58% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:25
Hokori 58%Infamous 42%
The model gave 58% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 40:22.
Game 2prediction missed
Hokori 58%Infamous 42%
The model gave 58% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 58%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2