BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mariano · 8 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 7 games
Bane
Prada · 5 games
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
Rubick
Genek · 4 games
Skywrath Mage
Genek · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
378 picks · 601 bans
Undying
316 picks · 559 bans
Tiny
310 picks · 202 bans
Primal Beast
246 picks · 475 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 339 bans
Enigma
220 picks · 721 bans
Shadow Fiend
209 picks · 253 bans
Tusk
207 picks · 115 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 39%
Hero pool strength55% Hokori
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total63% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:19
Hokori 63%Infamous 37%
The model gave 63% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 30:26.
Game 2prediction missed15:39
Hokori 63%Infamous 37%
The model gave 63% on Hokori — the game was taken by Infamous in 30:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 63%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2