?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team DogChamploss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

No games played over 6 months.

Team DogChamp

Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 11 games
36%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
43%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
458 picks · 274 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
435 picks · 593 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 470 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
353 picks · 473 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
350 picks · 763 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 495 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 446 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
296 picks · 443 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 18%
Hero pool strength53% Hokori
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 69%