BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Thunder Awakenloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Thunder Awaken
Marssignature
DarkMago · 16 games
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 13 games
Ogre Magisignature
Panda · 11 games
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 11 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
DarkMago · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Pakazs · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Matthew · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
545 picks · 375 bans
Queen of Pain
479 picks · 574 bans
Mars
446 picks · 614 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 803 bans
Snapfire
366 picks · 171 bans
Spirit Breaker
345 picks · 574 bans
Kunkka
342 picks · 546 bans
Wraith King
284 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 76%
Hero pool strength57% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total83% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:22
Hokori 17%Thunder Awaken 83%
The model gave 83% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 23:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 83%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1