IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
Хорватияloss 0:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Молдоваwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Хорватия
No games played over 6 months.
Молдова
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
393 picks · 726 bans
Hoodwink
337 picks · 284 bans
Rubick
333 picks · 220 bans
Weaver
332 picks · 648 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 375 bans
Pangolier
300 picks · 536 bans
Dark Willow
292 picks · 346 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Хорватия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Молдова
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Хорватия 33%Молдова 67%
The model gave 67% on Молдова — the game was taken by Молдова.
Model check result
Model favoriteМолдова · 67%
Series resultМолдова 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1