Открытые киберспортивные игры 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydra JRwin 2:0series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra JR
No games played over 6 months.
No Sorry
Banesignature
BLACKARXANGEL · 28 games
Tinysignature
Worick · 23 games
Enchantressoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 19 games
Skywrath Magesignature
y0nd · 19 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
LastHero- · 18 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Worick · 18 games
Medusasignature
Kami · 17 games
Hoodwinksignature
y0nd · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
369 picks · 582 bans
Undying
325 picks · 568 bans
Tiny
316 picks · 204 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 467 bans
Pangolier
237 picks · 330 bans
Enigma
224 picks · 729 bans
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 245 bans
Death Prophet
207 picks · 302 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength56% No Sorry
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% No Sorry
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hydra JR 26%No Sorry 74%
The model gave 74% on No Sorry — the game was taken by Hydra JR.
Game 2prediction missed
Hydra JR 26%No Sorry 74%
The model gave 74% on No Sorry — the game was taken by Hydra JR.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Sorry · 74%
Series resultHydra JR 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2