Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Entitywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 24 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 24 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 21 game
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 21 game
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
529 picks · 368 bans
Mars
460 picks · 651 bans
Queen of Pain
421 picks · 513 bans
Weaver
411 picks · 854 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 185 bans
Kunkka
325 picks · 530 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 508 bans
Disruptor
267 picks · 179 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 78%
Hero pool strength60% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total72% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:29
Hydra 28%Entity 72%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 30:55.
Game 2prediction missed41:20
Hydra 28%Entity 72%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by Hydra in 40:59.
Game 3prediction correct17:23
Hydra 28%Entity 72%
The model gave 72% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 40:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 72%
Series resultEntity 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3