2022 Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Индонезияloss 0:1series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Гонконгwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Индонезия
No games played over 6 months.
Гонконг
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
308 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
219 picks · 287 bans
Pangolier
211 picks · 413 bans
Beastmaster
196 picks · 388 bans
Skywrath Mage
192 picks · 109 bans
Storm Spirit
188 picks · 273 bans
Dark Seer
185 picks · 353 bans
Vengeful Spirit
173 picks · 244 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Индонезия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Индонезия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Индонезия 81%Гонконг 19%
The model gave 81% on Индонезия — the game was taken by Гонконг.
Model check result
Model favoriteИндонезия · 81%
Series resultГонконг 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1