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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:1
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Blade breakersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 9 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 3 games
0%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 3 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
0%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
DM · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DM · 2 games
0%

Blade breakers

Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Accel · 6 games
17%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Accel · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cara · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Accel · 3 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
bsK7- · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
444 picks · 359 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
410 picks · 548 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
368 picks · 469 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
366 picks · 191 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
352 picks · 563 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 587 bans
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
348 picks · 381 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
347 picks · 374 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength51% Blade breakers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:37
Infamous 61%Blade breakers 39%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 44:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenDM
44% · 124 games51% · 218 games
GyrocopterbsK7-
Gyrocopter
Lina
LinaS1RENM
45% · 64 games56% · 227 games
ClockwerkAccel
Clockwerk
Beastmaster
BeastmasterHermit
42% · 171 game
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiJimmyCoff666
55% · 86 games
Game 2prediction missed45:34
Infamous 62%Blade breakers 38%
The model gave 62% on Infamous — the game was taken by Blade breakers in 39:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverDM
51% · 66 games61% · 111 games
BristlebackbsK7-
Bristleback
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainS1RENM
30% · 26 games53% · 302 games
GyrocopterAccel
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinyHermit
46% · 173 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJimmyCoff666
46% · 148 games
Game 3prediction correct30:17
Infamous 64%Blade breakers 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 27:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Visage
VisageHermit
54% · 20 games51% · 327 games
TinybsK7-
Tiny
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerDM
41% · 58 games60% · 114 games
Ogre MagiAccel
Ogre Magi
Pangolier
PangolierS1RENM
42% · 186 games
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterJimmyCoff666
44% · 177 games
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 76%
Series resultInfamous 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3