Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Южная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Keyd Starsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 9 games
Windrangersignature
sl4d1n- · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
Mjz · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 4 games
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Miranaoften banned
sl4d1n- · 3 games
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 3 games
Tinyoften banned
sl4d1n- · 3 games
Keyd Stars
Snapfiresignature
KJ · 20 games
Tusksignature
Kingrd · 13 games
Medusasignature
hFn · 10 games
Pucksignature
Sooths · 9 games
Tinysignature
Kingrd · 9 games
Visagesignature
Tavo · 9 games
Marcisignature
Kingrd · 8 games
Techiessignature
FCR · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
402 picks · 389 bans
Tiny
360 picks · 360 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 236 bans
Mirana
286 picks · 291 bans
Treant Protector
223 picks · 270 bans
Snapfire
216 picks · 115 bans
Crystal Maiden
210 picks · 148 bans
Ember Spirit
193 picks · 528 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)26% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% Keyd Stars
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Keyd Stars
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Infamous 47%Keyd Stars 53%
The model gave 53% on Keyd Stars — the game was taken by Infamous.
Game 2prediction missed
Infamous 47%Keyd Stars 53%
The model gave 53% on Keyd Stars — the game was taken by Infamous.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 53%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2