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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Latam Defendersloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 8 games
75%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
ILICH- · 6 games
83%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Yor · 5 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Yor · 5 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
60%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 3 games
100%

Latam Defenders

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Moonlight · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Aretes · 6 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
Moonlight · 6 games
33%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Valquiria · 6 games
0%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Aretes · 6 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
20%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Aretes · 5 games
60%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Aretes · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 714 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
326 picks · 417 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
275 picks · 482 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
254 picks · 216 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
233 picks · 347 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
229 picks · 128 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
217 picks · 448 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
215 picks · 654 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 35%
Hero pool strength64% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:34
Infamous 64%Latam Defenders 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by Latam Defenders in 28:32.
Game 2prediction missed22:39
Infamous 64%Latam Defenders 36%
The model gave 64% on Infamous — the game was taken by Latam Defenders in 41:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 64%
Accuracy by game0 of 2